Citizens Budget Commission
The State of Municipal Services in the 1990s
Social Services in New York City
TABLE OF CONTENTS
- FOREWORD
- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- INTRODUCTION
- BACKGROUND
- Job Opportunities
- Drug Abuse
- The AIDS Epidemic
- Persons in Poverty
- Resource Allocation
- INCOME SUPPORT SERVICES
- The Programs
- The Benefits
- The Turnaround in Caseload
- HOMELESS SERVICES
- Poor Performance in Aiding Families
- Improvement in Services to Single Adults
- CHILD WELFARE
- Failings in Child Protective Services
- Fewer Preventive Services
- Prolonged Foster Care
- CHILD CARE
- The Programs
- The Expansion of Services
- The Changing Mix of Services
- Longer Waiting Lists and Increased Demand
- FUTURE CONCERNS
FOREWORD
Founded in 1932, the Citizens Budget Commission (CBC) is a nonpartisan, nonprofit civic organization devoted to influencing constructive change in the finances and services of New York State and New York City government. This report was prepared under the auspices of the CBC's Municipal Services Committee, which I chair. The other members of the Committee are Harold I. Berliner, Alan M. Berman, Jeremiah Blitzer, Mark Brossman, Daniel J. Gross, Peter C. Hein, Jerome E. Hyman, William F. McCarthy, Frank J. McLoughlin, Frances Milberg, John R. Miller, Philip L. Milstein, Steven M. Polan, Adam R. Rose, Edward L. Sadowsky, Lee S. Saltzman, Barbara Z. Shattuck, Ronald G. Weiner, Eileen S. Winterble, and Lawrence B. Buttenwieser, ex-officio.
The Municipal Services Committee was created in the wake of the 1970s fiscal crisis to monitor and report on the manner in which City agencies used scarce public resources to produce services. By 1994 the Committee had supervised the preparation of 39 reviews of municipal agency performance, covering nine servicesthe uniformed agencies (fire, police, correction and sanitation), mass transit, education, health care, social services, and parks. In January 1994 the CBC released a report on the HRA that made 13 recommendations to improve social services and save at least $560 million annually. The recommendations included: Enhancing analytical capability and using new technology; using incentive contracts to increase child support collections; instituting a large-scale work experience program for all employable public assistance clients; phasing-in mandatory managed care for Medicaid; testing a new capitation-like payment system for foster care; and, using federal funds to expand the child care voucher program.
This year the CBC began a new series of reports to assess how municipal agencies fared during an extended period of fiscal retrenchment, fiscal years 1990 to 1996. The first, on the Department of Correction, was released in June. This report on the City's social services agencies is second in a series that also will include the Fire Department, the Board of Education, the Police Department and the Sanitation Department.
This report was written by Charles Brecher, Executive Vice President and Director of Research, Sheilah M. Kane, Research Assistant, and Dean Michael Mead, Assistant Director of Research. The report was prepared for publication by Nicolette Macdonald, Publications Coordinator.
--Bud H. Gibbs, August 11, 1997
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The City of New York, with financial aid from the State and federal governments, is responsible for meeting the basic needs of its indigent residents. Because more than 1.8 million, or about one of every four, New Yorkers have incomes below the federal poverty threshold, this is a formidable task. In fiscal year 1996 the three relevant municipal agenciesthe Human Resources Administration (HRA), the Department of Social Services (DSS), and the Department of Homeless Services (DHS)spent over $8.0 billion and employed nearly 24,000 workers.
This report assesses how the fiscal difficulties of the 1990s affected the way in which the City of New York provided basic social services. It reviews the City's performance in providing income maintenance benefits, employment services, shelter to the homeless, protection and care for abused and neglected children, and subsidized child care opportunities for children in low-income families. Two general conclusions can be drawn from the available evidence. First, the number and quality of child care opportunities increased significantly. Second, misguided policies and weak implementation of better policies led to the denial of assistance to some needy persons.
Background
Analysis of the delivery of social services is informed by knowledge of underlying economic and social realities, as well as the level of resources committed to these services. Changes in three factors are particularly relevant to New York City's populationavailable job opportunities, patterns of drug abuse, and debilitating medical problems such as AIDS.
The national recession of 1990-1991 led to a loss of 1,160,000 jobs or 1 percent of total employment. This was followed by a strong and enduring national recovery adding nearly nine million jobs through 1996. In New York City the recession began earlier and hit harder. Job losses continued into 1993 with the decline eventually totaling 327,000 or 9 percent. The local recovery was slow and modest: From 1993 to 1996 only 76,000 jobs were added, leaving an extraordinary net loss of 251,000 jobs since 1990. Moreover, few of the jobs regained are suitable for low-skilled workers.
Data on drug abuse present a mixed picture. Emergency room incidents involving illicit drugs increased dramatically between 1990 and 1995from 12,600 to over 20,000 for cocaine, and from 3,800 to more than 11,000 for heroin. However, the number of births in New York City to women using cocaine (particularly "crack" cocaine) declined from a peak of 3,168 in 1989 to 1,288 in 1994.
The AIDS epidemic, which spread alarmingly during the 1980s and early 1990s, began to slow in the mid-1990s. By the end of 1996 over 92,000 persons in New York City had been diagnosed with AIDS, of whom almost 62,000 had died. However, the number of new cases started falling after 1994, from almost 15,000 to under 11,000 in 1996.
Given these substantial problems, it is not surprising that an estimated 1.8 million, or one in four, New York City residents lived in poverty in 1994, a much higher rate than nationally or elsewhere in New York State. Of this group, 772,000 or 43 percent were children.
Spending for social services (excluding Medicaid) grew steadily from 1990 to 1994, but declined in fiscal years 1995 and 1996. Growth in the 1990-1994 period averaged 7 percent annually in nominal dollars and 3 percent in constant dollars. The constant-dollar reductions were 4 percent in 1995 and 6 percent in 1996. Preliminary figures for fiscal year 1997 suggest the downward trend continued. Expenditure reductions were driven in part by cuts in full-time staffing from 31,909 to 23,837 during 1990-1996, as well as by less spending on child welfare and cash benefits. Expenditures for homeless services and child care rose substantially and steadily during the period.
Income Support Services
A series of welfare reforms at the federal and State levels resulted in a significant revamping of the public assistance programsthe federal Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) and the State Home Relief (HR) program for single adults. Most significantly, receiving cash benefits was tied to participation in work or training programs by employable adults. In 1995 the City initiated its New York City Work, Accountability, You (NYC WAY) program to meet the new requirements. The NYC WAY program combines a longer and more arduous eligibility review with greatly enhanced fraud detection and participation in the Work Experience Program (WEP), in which recipients work in a municipal or nonprofit agency.
During the 1990-1996 period, two important changes were made in income support services. First, the purchasing power of cash benefits declined. The inflation-adjusted maximum benefit for a family of three fell 10 percent. However, only the value of Food Stamps increased between 1990 and 1996; absent Food Stamps, the basic, shelter and energy allowances declined 18 percent.
Second, after substantial increases in the public assistance rolls, they began to shrink in 1996. Public assistance cases increased 49 percent from 372,000 in 1990 to over 555,000 in 1995, but then declined 12 percent in 1996. The reduction was most striking among Home Relief cases (23 percent), while the reduction in Aid to Families with Dependent Children was modest (4 percent). The turnaround is partly due to improved economic circumstances. However, although job placements increased, they still accounted for a relatively small share (about one-fifth) of the caseload decline.
A more important explanation for the drop in public assistance cases is the new eligibility and work requirements of NYC WAY. The more vigorous eligibility screening procedures had the positive effect of rooting out persons fraudulently receiving benefits. Unfortunately, those procedures also reduced the rolls through the inappropriate closing of cases. The City has failed to provide data relating directly to inappropriate closings, but other information suggests the problem is serious. The number of fair hearings requested by public assistance clients rose 43 percent in 1996 despite the decline in the number of cases, demonstrating rising dissatisfaction with administrative decisions.
Homeless ServicesThe City provides temporary shelter to homeless families and single adults. Its performance was dichotomous--dismal failure in aiding homeless families mixed with modest success in improving the shelter system for single adults.
Homeless families
There were more homeless families living in temporary shelters in 1996 than ever before5,700 on average per night, or 78 percent more than in 1990. This figure rose while the number of new families entering temporary housing fell more than one-third between 1993 and 1996. The explanation for this paradox is that it took the City longer to place families in permanent housing; the average stay in temporary housing lengthened 11 weeks, from 147 to 223 days.
Fewer families entered temporary housing because the City made it more difficult for them to do so. Three Emergency Assistance Units (EAUs) were closed, leaving only one in the Bronx. Further, families were required to call the Homeless Hotline before they could receive services from the EAU. Once families gained access to the EAU, they were not promptly referred to sheltersin 1996 three out of four families waited more than two days for temporary housing, many of them sleeping on desks and chairs in the EAU offices. Consequently, the City had paid $6 million in fines by the end of 1996.
Despite earlier plans to cease housing homeless families in hotels, there were 944 families in hotels on average in 1996, 164 percent more than in 1990. Of these, about one-third were housed in substandard hotels.
Homeless adults
The average number of single adults in shelters declined 22 percent from 8,750 to 6,850. A significant factor in this decline was the City's construction of 23 new, single-room occupancy buildings between 1992 and 1995.
The quality of shelter for adults improved as the City reduced its reliance on low-quality barracks-style facilities and added more specialized residences. This progress was not matched, however, by improvements in services to homeless adults. Placements in permanent housing increased slightly, but employment placements of residents declined 60 percent, and 28 percent fewer shelter residents were accepted in the federal Supplemental Security Income program due to City assistance.
The City provides three types of child welfare services: Child Protective Services (CPS), the investigation of reports of child abuse and neglect; preventive programs, which provide services to stressed families to help them function better and to prevent the removal of children from their homes; and foster care, which consists of alternative homes (with families, group homes, or institutions) for children whose parents are unavailable or unable to provide a safe home for their children. The City and its contracted foster care agencies also arrange adoptions for children who cannot be reunited with their parents.
Child Protective Services
Reports of child abuse and neglect received by the City decreased annually between 1990 and 1995, falling 14 percent from 55,158 to 47,571. As often happens after high-profile child abuse cases, the death of Elisa Izquierdo spurred an increase (11 percent) in 1996, bringing abuse reports to almost 53,000. Even more remarkably, the number of substantiated cases of abuse or neglect resulting from these reports fell two-thirds from 29,342 to 10,135.
Absent other evidence, the decline in substantiated cases would be good news. However, the drop was accompanied by a sharp cut in staffthe workload doubled from 12 cases per worker to 24, despite the drop in reports. This cut likely had an effect on the quality of the investigations. Specifically, the staff reductions led to less timely initiation of investigations, and the staff cuts and other budget cuts created incentives for workers to err on the side of failing to "found" a report rather than refer the case for preventive services or foster care.
Preventive services
With fewer reported and substantiated cases, preventive services contracted. The annual number of new families entering preventive programs fell 19 percent from 15,300 to 12,400. Furthermore, the City itself identified fewer families in need of preventive service: The share of families in contract preventive services who were referred by the City fell from 53 to 32 percent.
The City does not maintain, or will not disclose, meaningful information about the nature of the preventive services it provides and funds. In the face of reductions in available resources, it is possible that the quality of these services declined. This is suggested by the increase in the number of children in preventive services who eventually required foster care placement, from 480 in 1990 to 1,441 in 1996.
Foster care
From 1990 to 1992 the number of children in foster care increased 23 percent from 40,126 to 49,283, but from then to 1996 the figure dropped to 42,003. The decline in foster care cases is generally consistent with the drop in substantiated reports of abuse and neglect.
The most favorable outcome of foster care is a prompt return of the child to his or her family. Unfortunately, during the 1990-1996 period this aspect of foster care quality deteriorated. The average length of stay more than doubled from 2.1 to 4.4 years. Moreover, once a decision to pursue adoption was made, it took over three years to complete, one-third longer than in 1990.
The City provides subsidies for three types of child care. "Informal" arrangements include care by relatives, friends and baby sitters. One type of "formal" or regulated arrangement in center-based care, including group day care and Head Start. The other is family day care, persons caring for a number of unrelated children in their own homes.
The City performed well in expanding child care services. Subsidized opportunities increased 18 percent to over 70,000 in 1996. Importantly, growth was concentrated in programs that offer higher quality services and the option of full-day care. In addition, child care vouchers, which give families greater choice, more than tripled to pass 3,900 in 1996.
Vouchers provided by the City's Agency for Child Development were overwhelmingly used for group day care (88 percent). By contrast, vouchers issued by the Office of Employment Services to parents participating in welfare-to-work programs were predominantly used for informal care (83 percent). This is cause for concern because the quality of informal care typically is inferior. Also worrisome is the 16 percent growth in waiting lists for child care. Consistently during the period, one out of four children requesting a child care subsidy did not receive one.
The social service environment is undergoing rapid changes that will tax even the best managers. In this light, and based on this assessment of municipal performance, the Citizens Budget Commissionhas identified eight areas of concern for the future.
- Managing an expanded WEP Program productively. The HRA did an admirable job of expanding the WEP program in recent years. The City should continue to focus on managing expansion of the WEP program so that it functions productively. Suitable tasks should be identified for the participants, and they should be adequately supervised. If well run, WEP can deliver significant benefits to citizens in the form of valuable services, as well as to participants in the form of a credible work record to aid in subsequent job searches.
- Striking a better balance between fraud control and inappropriately denying benefits to the indigent. There is evidence that elements of the NYC WAY initiative are causing otherwise eligible indigent New Yorkers to be denied cash benefits. A better balance is needed between anti-fraud concerns and the goal of providing needy residents a reliable source of cash income. Administrative procedures could be revised to avoid inappropriate rejection of applications and inappropriate closing of cases.
- Maintaining an adequate benefit package for the needy. The value of the combination of cash benefits and Food Stamps given to indigent New Yorkers did not keep pace with inflation in the 1990s. The standard of living supported by these benefits is now significantly below the federal poverty level. In order to protect the most needy from additional hardship, welfare benefits should not be allowed to deteriorate further.
- Providing shelter for homeless families. The DHS did not do an adequate job of providing homeless families with temporary housing. Some were deterred from seeking aid, and many others were forced to wait in the EAUs for days before being placed. The management of the department was so poor that taxpayers paid millions of dollars in fines imposed by the courts because of the City's ineptitude. During fiscal year 1997 new procedures were implemented by the DHS to address some of these problems, but even greater efforts are warranted.
- Discovering and rectifying child abuse and neglect in a timely way. In the recent past, under-staffing and other practices in the provision of child protective services created incentives for workers to err on the side of avoiding a finding requiring intervention. As a result, preventive services and supportive activities were reduced. The creation of the new ACS and increases in its budget may be rectifying this troublesome situation.
- Limit foster care to the time necessary and appropriate. Recent years saw a sharp increase in the average time a child spends in foster care. This is a cause for concern because long stays may not be necessary; instead they may result from fiscal incentives related to per diem payments for care and poor supervision of foster care caseloads. Previous experiments with alternative payment arrangements for care, which provide incentives for foster care agencies to shorten lengths of stay in a prudent manner, were encouraging; new expanded initiatives should be tried.
- Expanding child care capacity to keep pace with workfare initiatives. Federal requirements for work-related activity by public assistance recipients will place new demands on the City to provide adequate child care to these clients. To meet these new demands the City will have to make difficult resource allocation decisions. Careful consideration should be given to choosing among serving more children with inexpensive, lower-quality informal care, fewer children with more comprehensive programs like Head Start, or a mixture of services along with more regulation of informal care to improve its quality.
- Expanding use of computer technology and capacity for program analysis. The City's social service agencies have been slow to introduce new technologies and to utilize evaluation to manage service delivery. More sophisticated record-keeping, combined with the capacity for skillful analysis, would produce meaningful information to guide the formation and implementation of less expensive, higher-quality programs.
INTRODUCTION
The City of New York, with financial aid from the State and federal governments, is responsible for meeting the basic needs of its indigent residents. Because more than 1.8 million, or about one of every four, New Yorkers have incomes below the federal poverty threshold, this is a formidable task. In fiscal year 1996 the three relevant municipal agencies-the Human Resources Administration, the Department of Social Services and the Department of Homeless Services-spent over $8.0 billion and employed nearly 24,000 workers to aid the indigent.
How have the fiscal difficulties of the 1990s affected the way in which municipal government provides basic social services? This report addresses the question by reviewing the City's performance in providing income maintenance benefits, employment services, shelter to the homeless, protection and care for abused and neglected children, and subsidized day care for children in low-income families.1 The evidence points to two, quite different, general conclusions:
- Due in large part to expanded federal aid, subsidized child care opportunities increased significantly in number and quality, with many more children receiving care through programs that emphasize educational objectives. Although there is justifiable concern for the future adequacy of local child care capacity as recent federal welfare reform legislation requires more single parents to work, the record of the recent past is clear improvement.
- For services other than child care, policy changes and new administrative practices have restricted access to benefits and services. Those actions that reduced fraud and abuse are desirable and praiseworthy. However, there is evidence that some of these policies and practices denied assistance to some needy persons, an outcome which is undesirable.
The harmful consequences have two related sources--misguided policies and weak implementation of sounder policies. More stringent and elongated eligibility procedures for public assistance imposed since 1995 and the sharp increase in caseloads for child protective workers during fiscal years 1992-1996 are important examples of imprudent policies. The increased length of stay in foster care and the multi-million-dollar fines for unjustifiable delays in sheltering homeless families are dramatic illustrations of mismanagement.
The remainder of this report elaborates upon these conclusions, presenting the data that support them as well as other relevant information. The body of the report is organized into five sections. The first presents background information relating to the economic and social conditions in the city during the 1990-1996 period and the municipal resources allocated to social welfare services. The next four sections examine, sequentially, income maintenance and related employment services, homeless services, child welfare services, and child care. A conclusion identifies concerns for the future.
BACKGROUND
Social services are intended to help deal with the problems of society's less fortunate members, whose misfortunes arise from multiple causes. Analysis of the delivery of social services is, accordingly, enhanced by an understanding of underlying economic and social realities as well as the level of resources committed to these services. Changes in three such basic factors are particularly relevant to New York City's population-available job opportunities, patterns of drug abuse, and debilitating medical problems such as AIDS.
Probably the most important economic fact about New York City in the 1990s was the sharp drop in employment opportunities, especially for less-skilled workers. This was rooted in national economic trends, but had an especially dramatic impact on the local labor market.
A national recession spanning 1990 and 1991 led to a national loss of 1,160,000 jobs or 1 percent of total employment. This was followed by a strong and enduring national recovery adding nearly nine million jobs through 1996, an 8 percent increase over 1991.2
In New York City the recession began earlier, in September 1989, and hit harder. (See Table 1.) Job losses continued into 1993 with the decline eventually totaling 327,000 or 9 percent of the 1989 base. Moreover, the local recovery was slow and modest. From 1993 to 1996 only 76,000 jobs were added, and indications are the gain through 1997 will reach about 93,0003. Thus, the net loss is an extraordinary 251,000 jobs.
Many of the lost jobs, but few of the recently added jobs, were ones for which less-skilled workers qualify. The changing skill mix of the local economy is hard to quantify, but is reflected in data on average wages. From 1990 to 1996 average earnings per worker in the city rose 34 percent from $34,371 to $46,040 annually; in inflation-adjusted terms the growth was 11 percent, reflecting the higher levels of productivity and greater skill requirements of the emerging economy. The same fact is reflected in the changing industrial mix of the local economy, with the share of jobs in manufacturing falling from about 10 percent to 8 percent in the 1990-1996 period.
Addiction to illegal drugs, notably heroin and cocaine (especially, crack cocaine), impairs a person's ability to function normally, and thus greatly increases an individual's chances of becoming economically dependent and engaging in harmful behavior such as child abuse and neglect. Therefore, trends in drug abuse may be closely tied to demand for social services.
Some observers believe there was an increase of epidemic proportions in the use of "crack" cocaine among inner-city populations in the late 1980s and early 1990s, followed by a decline during the mid-1990s which was only partly offset by a resurgence in heroin addiction. Understandably, systematic data on drug abuse are not available, but the sketchy evidence only partially supports this view. The data most consistent with this belief relate to births to women using cocaine. Such births rose from 1,364 in 1986 to a peak of 3,168 in 1989, and declined to 1,288 in 1994 (the latest year for which data are currently available).
Other data suggest a more stable, and even rising, rate of cocaine and heroin addiction in the 1990s. Periodic analyses by the federal Department of Justice revealed that the share of arrestees in Manhattan testing positive for some type of illicit drug was 83 percent in 1988, 82 percent in 1994 and 84 percent in 19954. In 1995 cocaine remained the dominant type of illicit drug among arrestees, with 69 percent testing positive compared to 20 percent testing positive for heroin and 24 percent for marijuana.5
Monitoring of persons seeking treatment in hospital emergency rooms in the New York City area also suggests the drug abuse problem did not wane.6 Incidents involving patients who use cocaine jumped from 12,633 in 1990 to 21,085 in 1993 and remained above 20,000 in 1994 and 1995. Incidents involving patients who used heroin rose steadily from 3,810 in 1990 to 11,185 in 1994 and were over 11,000 in 1995.
Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS), a disabling and fatal disease, emerged at the end of the 1970s and soon spread rapidly. As the disease becomes more disabling, persons who may have previously been self-supporting often lose the ability to continue working and to stay at home without assistance. The need for assistance with income support, housing and personal care among persons with AIDS led the New York City Department of Social Services to create a separate unit for AIDS services in July 1987.
The scale of the problem increased dramatically in the 1980s. Before 1981, 48 adults were diagnosed with AIDS or related illnesses in New York City; by 1985 the figure was 6,352. By 1990 there were 44,374 such adults, and at the end of 1996 there were 92,253. Of this group, 61,643 had died, leaving 30,610 adults living with AIDS in New York City at the end of 1996.
A positive aspect of the story is that more effective medical treatments, greater understanding of the ways in which the disease is spread and strong efforts to educate the public about the disease led to a recent decline in new cases. The number of new cases reported annually rose relentlessly from 849 in 1983 to 7,334 in 1992. Because of an expansion of the AIDS surveillance definition, new diagnoses doubled to 14,965 in 1993, but that year appears to have been a turning point. New cases fell to 12,637 in 1994 and 10,536 in 1995, and were 10,946 in 1996.7
Unemployment, addiction and serious disease are prominent among the causes of poverty. Since New York City is characterized by a high incidence of these problems, it is not surprising that it also has a large (in both an absolute and relative sense) number of persons living in poverty.8-9
In 1994, the latest year for which data are available, an estimated 1,810,000 New Yorkers lived in poverty, or about one of every four. The incidence of poverty in New York City (26 percent) was higher than the average for all central cities in the United States (21 percent) and far above the overall national average (15 percent)10. Among the persons in poverty in New York City, fully 772,000 or 43 percent were children under age 19. Of all the children living in the city, an estimated 44 percent were in households with incomes below the poverty level; in contrast, the comparable national figure was 22 percent.
Short-run trends in the number of persons living in poverty are difficult to track accurately. The 1994 estimate of 1,810,000 in New York City is quite close to the 1990 Census figure of 1,839,000; this suggests a relatively stable number of low-income people. However, interim annual surveys based on a relatively small sample suggest the number fell in 1991 and 1992 (despite the recession), rose sharply in 1993, and then fell in 1994. It is difficult to determine the extent to which these annual fluctuations represent an accurate picture of economic reality or the extent to which they are a result of the sampling techniques. A reasonable conclusion from the available data is that for most of the 1990s about one of four New Yorkers lived in poverty.
The Human Resources Administration (HRA) has been the City of New York's principal social service agency since its creation by executive order in 1966.11 The Administrator of the HRA also serves as the Commissioner of the Department of Social Services (DSS), a separate entity established in the City Charter to represent the five boroughs on behalf of the New York State Department of Social Services. The separation between the HRA and the DSS is largely a legality; in practice, the DSS functions as part of the HRA.
In the 1990-1996 period two new agencies were created to take over parts of the HRA's responsibilities. In fiscal year 1994 the Department of Homeless Services (DHS) was created to provide shelter to homeless adults and families. In February 1996 the Administration for Children's Services (ACS) was established to deliver the child welfare services previously provided by the HRA, to handle the child support enforcement responsibilities previously vested in the HRA, and to administer the Head Start program. In December 1996 the other child care programs operated by the HRA were also transferred to the ACS.
Table 2 summarizes the resources allocated to the relevant social service agencies. Excluding Medicaid purchases, the three agencies spent a total of $5.9 billion in fiscal year 1996.12 Of this total about $2.4 billion or 41 percent represented cash benefits to public assistance recipients. (See Figure 1.) Another $1.1 billion or 19 percent represented compensation for the nearly 24,000 employees of the three municipal agencies. Payments to private child welfare agencies for foster care, adoption subsidies, and related services required nearly $1.0 billion or 16 percent, and purchases of child care services required $368 million or about 6 percent. Contracts for shelter services for the homeless received $226 million, but this sum was supplemented by services provided at shelters operated directly by the municipal agencies.
Overall spending for social services (less Medicaid) grew steadily from 1990 to 1994, but was cut in fiscal years 1995 and 1996. Growth in the 1990-1994 period averaged 7 percent annually in nominal dollars and 3 percent in constant dollars. The constant-dollar reductions were 4 percent in 1995 and 6 percent in 1996. Preliminary figures for fiscal year 1997 suggest the downward trend continued.13
Spending for municipal agency staff and for purchased child welfare services followed the overall pattern, but resources allocated for the other major items deviated from the general trend. Employee compensation grew 4 percent from 1990 to 1994, but most of the increase was for fringe benefits such as health insurance. Salary and wage costs were nearly stable as the number of employees fell from 31,909 to 26,250.14 From 1994 to 1996 spending was lowered 9 percent as the number of workers was cut further to 23,837. Purchases of child welfare services grew 28 percent from 1990 to 1994, then declined 9 percent from 1994 to 1996.
For cash benefits, the turnaround in spending occurred in 1995 rather than 1994. Expenditures rose 54 percent from 1990 to 1995, then fell 10 percent in 1996. However, benefits for the Home Relief program, which serves single adults and childless couples, began to fall after 1994, with the decline reaching 29 percent by 1996. Benefits for the Aid to Families with Dependent Children program did not decline until 1996, and then by a lower 5 percent.
Unlike the other services, spending for child care grew almost steadily over the 1990-1996 period. Expenditures at the end of the period were 55 percent above the 1990 figure, with an 8 percent increase in the last two years.
Purchases of services for the homeless increased steadily and significantly (74 percent) over the 1990-1994 period, but the cut in 1995 was followed by an increase in 1996. The 1995 reduction seems related to changes in ways of caring for homeless families associated with the creation of the DHS in 1995.
Partly offsetting the reductions in municipal staff and certain types of purchased services was a steady increase in spending under the category of other non-personnel items. These purchased goods and services increased 34 percent over the 1990-1996 period, with a 25 percent increase in the last two years.
How have these varying increases and decreases in resources affected the services provided to the large population of indigent New Yorkers? The next four sections consider the ways in which income maintenance and employment services, homeless services, child welfare services, and child care services have been altered since 1990.
INCOME SUPPORT SERVICES The HRA's income support programs have two main goals: (1) To provide to destitute adults and children sufficient cash to sustain a minimally adequate standard of living; and (2) to help employable adults gain financial independence through training and employment. Income support programs have become intertwined with the employment programs as successive welfare reforms have tied receipt of cash benefits to participation in work or training activities.
The first goal is addressed through two public assistance programsóthe federally supported Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) and the New York State Home Relief programs.15 Single-parent families and two-parent families with an unemployed head of the household can qualify for, respectively, AFDC or AFDC-Unemployed Parent (AFDC-U) if they have children under 18 and incomes and assets below a level set by the State. Home Relief (HR) covers single adults, childless couples, and two-parent families in which the head of the household is employed, if their income and assets are below a level set by the State. The HR program is funded entirely by New York State and its local governments. Food Stamps, which are funded by the federal government, are available to all individuals and families with incomes and assets below levels set by the federal government.
Repeatedly revised federal and State requirements that employable public assistance beneficiaries engage in some employment-related activity have increasingly shaped income support services. The federal Family Support Act of 1988 established requirements for the provision of employment-related services to eligible AFDC recipients and provided funding for these services. The Family Support Act required that 7 percent of eligible recipients participate in job-related activities at least 20 hours per week in federal fiscal year 1991, increasing to 11 percent in 1993 and 20 percent in 1995.
The Office of Employment Services (OES), a subdivision of the HRA, administers the Begin Employment Gain Independence Now (BEGIN) program, a City program initiated in fiscal year 1991 to comply with the Family Support Act. BEGIN provides AFDC recipients with services such as job clubs, career counseling, English-as-a-Second-Language classes, and vocational training.
The federal Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act enacted in August 1996 stipulates that 25 percent of families receiving benefits must participate in work-related activities in federal fiscal year 1997. The required participation rate rises by five percentage points each year through 2002 to reach 50 percent, and the weekly work requirement increases to 25 hours in 1999 and to 30 hours in 2000.16
Work requirements established by the State for HR recipients are more stringent than federal AFDC stipulations. In December 1989 the State mandated an Applicant Job Search Program requiring HR applicants first to participate in a four-week independent job search and, if unsuccessful, to participate in the Work Experience Program (WEP) while continuing to look for work.17 Under WEP, HR recipients work in a municipal or nonprofit agency under the supervision of agency personnel. The OES administers WEP. The State required that 22 percent of adults receiving HR participate in employment-related activities during State fiscal year 1992, increasing to 50 percent in 1995.
In City fiscal year 1995 the HRA began implementing its own work initiative, called ìNew York City Work, Accountability, Youî (NYC WAY). It has three main components-eligibility verification, fraud reduction, and WEP. The NYC WAY program was implemented in three phases. The first stage, launched between January and March 1995, applied to new HR applicants.18 These individuals were required to cooperate with an Eligibility Verification Review (EVR) process upon application and then immediately placed in job search activities. The EVR is an intensive assessment of applicant eligibility that involves in-depth interviews, verification of social security numbers, and clearances against the State Welfare Management System, the State Department of Motor Vehicles and federal Internal Revenue Service data. As a result of the review, some applicants are selected for a home visit. After the EVR, applicants complete the previously established public assistance eligibility determination process at an HRA Income Maintenance Center. After application approval all employable HR recipients are directed to WEP assignments.19 The second phase, begun in July 1995, extended NYC WAY to include all current HR recipients and applied the EVR to all new AFDC applicants. The third stage extended WEP to include employable AFDC recipients beginning in April 1996.
There are four components to what are commonly called welfare benefits: The basic allowance; the home energy allowance; the shelter allowance; and, Food Stamps. The basic allowance is set by the State Legislature, as is the home energy allowance, which supplements the basic grant to cover heating and energy costs. The shelter allowance is set by the State Social Services Commissioner; it is the lower of a maximum amount varying with family size and a household's actual rent. Food Stamps are issued for an amount set by the federal government that varies with family income (and counts public assistance benefits as part of that income). Table 3 shows that the maximum monthly benefit package for a family of three rose 11 percent from fiscal year 1990 to fiscal year 1996, reaching $849. The growth was driven entirely by a 44 percent increase in Food Stamps; the other three components were not raised during the period.20
Adjusted for inflation, the value of the monthly benefits fell 10 percent. Excluding Food Stamps, the real value of the remaining benefits declined 18 percent.
The total maximum benefit in 1990 amounted to 88 percent of the federal poverty threshold. By 1996 the benefits had fallen to 81 percent of that minimal standard. In 1990 two-thirds of public assistance households paid rents at or above the maximum shelter allowance; as of 1996 more than three-quarters did. In summary, in 1990 welfare benefits were not adequate to permit families to purchase a minimally acceptable standard of living, and they have become more inadequate since.
The most important and striking fact about income support services in the 1990s was the turnaround in caseload beginning in 1995. From 1990 to 1995 the number of persons receiving public assistance (AFDC and HR) increased steadily; the overall growth was 38 percent from 830,415 to 1,146,829. (See Table 4.) Measured in terms of cases as opposed to individuals, the growth was 49 percent from 372,325 to 555,384; HR cases increased 66 percent, AFDC cases 35 percent and AFDC-U cases 295 percent. The rapid growth among HR and AFDC-U cases was widely interpreted as consistent with the decline in job opportunities for less-skilled individuals associated with the recession and structural changes in the local economy. The slower growth of AFDC cases continued a trend toward more single-parent families and a larger share of such families living with incomes below the poverty threshold.
Then in 1996 the trend was reversed. In that year the overall caseload fell 12 percent, with a striking 23 percent decline in HR cases and a 4 percent decline in AFDC cases, while AFDC-U cases continued to increase. In absolute terms, the number of cases dropped nearly 66,000.
More recent data indicate the downturn in 1996 was not an anomaly. The number of persons receiving public assistance fell steadily after fiscal year 1996, and stood at 908,314 as of April 1997, or 60,000 lower than April 1996.21
Greater movement to self-sufficiency
The expansion of employment-oriented services was dramatic. As shown in Table 5, the number of AFDC client entries into employment-related activities rose from 34,485 in 1991 to 122,591 in 1996; for HR the corresponding figures were 55,944 and 95,655.22 However, most of this increase took place before 1996; the increase in entries in 1996 was a smaller 9,059 for AFDC and for HR there was a drop in entries from 1995.
Of course, enrollment in an employment-related activity is not the same as gaining a job. Most employment-related activity for AFDC clients was job counseling and training; for HR clients it was predominantly WEP. In assessing movement to self-sufficiency the more relevant measure is the number of job placements. Such placements increased steadily with the expansion of employment activities, but much of the increase was before 1996. Among AFDC clients the 1996 increase in placements was 8,982, and among HR clients, 3,115. These increased placements were equal to about three-quarters of the decline in AFDC caseload, but equaled just 6 percent of the much greater decline in the HR caseload. (See Figure 2.) Overall, increased job placements equaled less than one-fifth of the decline in caseload.23
The likelihood that the decreased caseload was not matched by increased self-sufficiency is also suggested by the growth in non-public assistance recipients qualifying for Food Stamps. In 1996 this type of Food Stamps beneficiary increased 23,000 or 10 percent. This suggests most people no longer receiving public assistance remain indigent and qualify for Food Stamps.
New administrative and work requirements
The new eligibility and work requirements associated with the NYC WAY program appear to be the major factors causing a decline in the public assistance caseload. These new procedures were implemented in the 1995-1996 period and coincide with the drop in caseload.
The NYC WAY initiative involved several new requirements for potential and current beneficiaries. Applicants were screened more vigorously for eligibility and referred to employment services more quickly; current beneficiaries also were required to participate in employment-related activities, with more frequent interviews scheduled with employment counselors, and those not finding work were required to participate in the WEP program. The scale of activity associated with NYC WAY is reflected in the more than doubling of employment interviews scheduled for HR clients in 1996 and the 20,773 or 28 percent increase in WEP participation among HR clients in that year. (Refer to Table 5.)
The expansion of WEP is a positive development previously recommended by the Citizens Budget Commission.24 It has the dual benefit of deterring abuse of benefits by clients who may be working surreptitiously and of providing otherwise unemployed beneficiaries with work experience and constructive activities during their day. When targeted to employable clients and structured with adequate supervision, WEP is a desirable program that warrants even further enlargement to reach more of the AFDC population.
However, other administrative practices initiated in the last two years may be less desirable. The effect of additional interviews and screenings may be to cause indigent households to lose cash benefits for failure to comply with new rules that have little bearing on the need for cash assistance. A less intensive version of these administrative practices was employed in the mid-1980s and was criticized as unnecessary "churning" of the welfare caseload in order to achieve short-run fiscal savings.25
Statistical evidence of such churning appears in administrative records as higher rates of rejection of applicants, higher rates of case closings for failure to comply with administrative rules, and higher rates of case reopenings within short periods of their closure. Such data, maintained by the HRA in the past and presumably still recorded, has not been made available for this report. Presumably, the figures would indicate, especially for HR cases, an increased rate of denied applications, an increased rate of case closings for failure to comply with administrative requirements, and a greater number of closed cases reopened within 60 or 90 days. To the extent these practices prevail, needy families and individuals are being denied cash benefits inappropriately.
In the absence of relevant data, the City defends the administrative practices on the basis of its suspicions. According to the HRA: "We suspect that many of the tens of thousands that failed to show for their annual face-to-face re-certifications and other mandatory interviews, and also the thousands who request that their cases be closed, are also employed and therefore no longer in need of public assistance. As we have not had the resources to follow up on these cases, we cannot document and confirm these suspicions."26
Another set of statistical indicators suggesting inappropriate denial of benefits relate to fair hearings requested by clients. (See Table 6.) The number of fair hearings requested reflects the level of dissatisfaction with administrative decisions.27 Initially the number of fair hearings requested declined 15 percent in 1991, then was fairly constant through 1995.28 In 1996, however, requests rose 43 percent from 84,300 to 120,800, despite the drop in the number of cases. Moreover, fair hearings requested increased as a percentage of the average monthly caseload, growing from 8 percent in 1995 to 21 percent in 1996 for HR employment-related requests, and from 21 to 27 percent for other public assistance recipients. Furthermore, HR income support-related requests increased from 12 to 17 percent.29 The number of fair hearings requested based on OES decisions more than doubled in 1996, indicating substantial objections to the aggressive implementation of work-related requirements.
The number of fair hearings held did not increase as quickly as fair hearing requests29 percent from 52,912 in 1994 to 68,200 in 1996. Consequently, as a share of the fair hearings requested they fell in 1996 from 71 percent to 56 percent. There are two conflicting explanations for the disparity between the number of requested fair hearings and the number actually conducted. According to the Mayor's Office of Operations, it was due to a 40 percent reduction in income support staff available for processing fair hearing requests. The Office of Operations explains that the reduction in staffing was not the City's choice, but was the result of injunctions preventing the City from reorganizing and redeploying staff.30 In contrast, the HRA claims, "There is no connection between the number of Income Support staff and fair hearings held [T]he discrepancy between hearings requested and hearings held stems from the decision of recipients not to complete the fair hearing process."31
The information on the timely implementation of fair hearing decisions also indicates a decline in the quality of program administration. The percentage of fair hearing decisions implemented within 30 days for public assistance cases and within 10 days for Food Stamp cases improved in 1991, but worsened thereafter. Timely implementation for public assistance cases decreased from a peak of 96 percent in 1991 to 68 percent in 1996, a 40 percent drop. The figure for Food Stamps dropped from 96 percent in 1991 to 90 percent in 1996. In other words, when fair hearings were held and a decision rendered, the City was increasingly unable or unwilling to implement the decisions.
HOMELESS SERVICES The City's services to the homeless are organized around two different populations-families and single adults. Families are screened and provided temporary housing until a more permanent arrangement can be made; single adults are assigned to municipally-sponsored shelters each night they are homeless.
Prior to 1993 homeless services were provided by the HRA. Its Special Services for Adults unit had responsibility for homeless single adults; its Crisis Intervention Services unit was responsible for aiding homeless families. The HRA's reliance on substandard hotels as a source of temporary housing for families led to much criticism and dissatisfaction, leading the City Council to create the new DHS in 1993 with a mandate to eliminate reliance on these hotels and improve services in other ways. While the DHS took over responsibilities previously under the Crisis Intervention Services and the Special Services for Adults units, the HRA retained responsibility for efforts made by Diversion Teams located at Income Maintenance centers to reduce the need for homeless services to families, and for shelter services to victims of domestic violence. Although the DHS repeatedly failed to achieve the objective set by the City Council of eliminating reliance on substandard or "noncompliant"32 hotels, the DHS was reauthorized in 1995 until 1996, and then in 1996 had its charter extended to July 1998.33
Overall, the record of homeless services in the 1990-1996 period is a mixture of dismal failure in aiding homeless families and modest success in improving the shelter system for single adults. As described more fully below, there were more homeless families in temporary quarters in 1996 than ever before despite the fact that access to temporary housing for families was restricted by administrative practices. (See Figure 3.) The City continued to provide many families shelter in substandard hotels, and the average time before the City found them a more permanent arrangement increased significantly. In contrast, the number of homeless single adults declined somewhat and the lessened need for shelter space was used as an opportunity to reduce reliance on the lowest quality facilities.
Poor Performance in Aiding Families
Whether at the HRA or the DHS, managers of services to families pursued three strategies to improve performance. First, the Diversion Teams and other mechanisms were used to try to prevent the need for temporary placements by better screening and otherwise aiding families while they still have housing options. Second, alternatives to hotels and other low-quality housing were sought to improve temporary living conditions for those requiring assistance. Third, greater access to the supply of permanent housing was sought in order to speed the out-placement of homeless families. Regrettably, it proved difficult to implement these strategies, and in some cases they backfired.
Efforts to reduce the need for placements begin with aid provided by contracted Homelessness Prevention Services and by HRA Diversion Teams. In 1992, the HRA granted contracts to nonprofit agencies to prevent families from becoming homeless and entering the shelter system. Nonprofits run these Homelessness Prevention Programs in 10 Income Support (IS) centers throughout the city.34 The staff offer assistance in the form of advocacy on behalf of the families, legal representation in Housing Court, referrals to other services, and assistance with public assistance and housing subsidy applications. If the Homelessness Prevention Program is unable to help the family avoid homelessness, the next step is an HRA Diversion Team. Families may also seek assistance directly from Diversion Teams without first consulting a Homelessness Prevention Program.
As of Spring 1996, the HRA staffed Diversion Teams in 38 IS Centers and at the Emergency Assistance Unit (EAU).35 Created in 1993, these teams work with families requesting shelter. To maximize their impact, the HRA required that all families seeking shelter first consult with a Diversion Team before reporting to an EAU. Diversion Teams perform a task similar to the nonprofit agencies. The means at their disposal include supplemental cash grants, mediating between "doubled-up" families, pursuing alternative doubled-up living situations, and assisting families in Housing Court.36 If the Diversion Team also is unable to prevent a family from becoming homeless, a staff member then refers the family to an EAU. Beginning in November 1994, any family that did not consult with a Diversion Team must call the Homeless Hotline for a referral before being allowed access to the EAU.37
The EAUs are facilities from which homeless families are placed in temporary quarters. During the early 1990s, the HRA closed the EAUs in Brooklyn, Queens and Manhattan, leaving only one EAU in the Bronx. Families were further discouraged from seeking aid from the DHS by the extended amount of time they must spend at the EAU before placement. Many families were detained at EAUs for several days, sleeping with their children at the EAU offices.
These measures reduced the number of new families provided assistance, in part by successfully diverting families from entering the homeless system, but there appears to be associated harm to those in need in the delays and discouragement in seeking service. Data are not available for earlier years, but from 1993 to 1996 the number of families entering temporary housing was cut more than one-third from 14,691 to 9,450. (See Table 7.) This is related to the poor job the City did in aiding people in a timely way by moving them from the EAUs to acceptable temporary housing. In 1993 less than half of the families arriving at the EAU were placed within 24 hours. This figure improved the next year, but in fiscal year 1995 only one-third of families were referred in 48 hours, and in 1996 just 26 percent.38 In other words, three of four families in 1996 spent more than two days waiting for shelter, many of them sleeping on desks and chairs in the EAU offices. This abysmal performance is baffling because the decline in the number of families seeking assistance should have made it easier for intake workers to place families quicker.
The disgraceful performance at the EAUs led to court cases and court-imposed fines on the City for failure to place families within 24 hours. Fines of $50 the first night and $100 per night thereafter were in effect from 1991 to 1994; the fines were reinstated in 1996 and raised to $150 per night for the second and subsequent nights. By the end of 1996 the City had paid more than $6 million in fines.39
While the diversion strategy backfired in the form of heavy fines and denied services, the efforts to improve the quality of temporary placements also were not fully successful. The City's self-set goals were to eliminate reliance on hotels and to eliminate use of congregate shelters (Tier I shelters), which did not give families adequate space and privacy. The last of the Tier I shelters were converted to higher-quality facilities in 1993, but the DHS continued to be dependent on hotels. In 1996, 944 families were housed in hotels and about one-third of those families were in noncompliant hotel units.40 The number of families in hotels in 1996 was more than double the number in 1990 and down only modestly from the peak in 1993 when outrage led to the creation of the DHS.41
On a positive note, the City added 41 shelters in the 1990s to its stock of higher-quality Tier II facilities, reaching a total of 78 in June 1996.42 Consequently, the share of families staying in these facilities grew from 68 percent in 1990 to 72 percent in 1996. The City also augmented the number of specialized residences. The HRA opened a shelter for pregnant women and another for childless couples in March 1990. It then opened another in 1992 and five more in 1993. Despite a series of openings and closings of shelters, the City maintained the number of specialized residences at eight through 1996. Specialized residences housed a small share of the families-between 5 and 7 percent.
Another important development in the type of temporary shelter offered to families was the establishment of reception and assessment centers. In February 1993 the HRA opened the first assessment center in Brooklyn.43 These centers are temporary shelters designed for families whose housing issues cannot be resolved by income support Diversion Teams or by the EAU staff. The assessment centers give caseworkers additional time to determine whether a familyís housing problem can be resolved and, if not, to determine the best type of shelter placement. The HRA opened assessment centers in the Bronx and Queens in April 1993, and the DHS launched a Manhattan site during fiscal year 1994. The HRA also opened the first reception centers in April 1993 in the Brooklyn and Queens assessment centers. These facilities offered immediate temporary housing to families after business hours when the income maintenance centers are closed. However, in fiscal 1995, the DHS phased out the reception centers. Together the assessment and reception centers housed an average of 5 percent of the families in temporary housing.
The third strategy of seeking more placements in permanent housing also did not work as intended. Some success was achieved in the sense that the number of families relocated to permanent housing was about 6 percent greater in 1996 than in 1990, but the latest figure was still below the 1994 high. Recent efforts were complicated by the elimination in 1995 of some federal funding for housing. More importantly, increased out-placements did not lead to a smaller caseload. If fewer families were entering the shelters, and roughly the same number (or more) were relocated from the shelters, then one would expect there to be fewer families in the shelters. But the average number of families in temporary housing actually increased to reach an all-time high of 5,693 in 1996 compared to 3,196 in 1990. The explanation of this seeming contradiction is that many families were spending much longer periods in the shelters before out-placement. The average length of time families lived in "temporary" housing grew 52 percent or almost 11 weeks from 147 days in 1990 to 223 days in 1996.
The extended length of stay in temporary housing was not only a burden on the affected families; it also was an added fiscal burden for local taxpayers. Temporary housing is far more expensive than subsidized permanent housing. The City spends approximately $100 per day per family for Tier II facilities,44 and the average cost to house a family in a hotel (based on four noncompliant hotels used in August 1996) was $77 per night,45 not including meal supplements. On a monthly basis these costs amounted to $3,000 and $2,310, respectively. A federal Section 8 housing voucher for a family of four, by contrast, was $761 per month. The public assistance housing allowance for a family of three in New York City was $286 per month, and even with the maximum Jiggets relief the benefit was no more than $572 monthly.46 Even after one takes the landlord bonuses and moving expenses that the City provides into consideration, a year in a subsidized apartment is much less expensive than the same amount of time in a Tier II facility or a hotel.
Improvement in Services to Single Adults
In contrast to the trend among families, the average number of adults lodged per night fell 22 percent from 1990 to 1996. (See Table 8.) The total census dropped steadily from 8,750 in 1990 to 6,219 in 1995, and then increased by about 600 people to reach 6,848 in 1996. The vast majority of sheltered adults were men, and a 24 percent reduction in their number drove the overall trend. The average number of women lodged per night decreased 9 percent.
The decreasing single adult census may be related to the improving economy and the provision of specialized services and housing to clients with AIDS, but the most significant reason likely was the City's construction of additional SRO units over the period. The City planned in the late 1980s to build 5,000 new SRO units for special homeless populations, including the mentally ill, the elderly, people with AIDS, and people who have completed drug treatment.47 Between 1992 and 1995, the City built 23 new SRO facilities and renovated another, though it is unclear how many additional units the facilities provided.48 While the most recent upswing in the census was concurrent with the implementation of NYC WAY and its closing of many HR cases, it is not possible conclusively to link them causally.
The quality of services to homeless adults can be measured by the type of shelter provided. The City reduced the number of persons housed in low-quality, barracks-style congregate facilities. During the Summer of 1992, the HRA made progress by reducing the number of beds in the two largest armory shelters for men by 35 percent or 1,370 beds.49 Overall, such capacity was lowered 44 percent from 4,500 in July 1989 to 2,508.50 In fiscal year 1993 the HRA opened STAR II, a shelter with a drug-abuse treatment program, and in 1994 three new contracted shelters with 183 beds opened.51 Furthermore, the congregate facilities that remained in use were significantly upgraded, so that most adults now sleep in dormitory-style spaces with partitions, rather than in large open areas.
These developments suggest the City improved the quality of shelter available to single adults. One available indicatoróthe percentage of adults in shelters that provide additional servicesómight support this theory. However, it is unavailable prior to 1995, and should therefore be assessed cautiously. From 1995 to 1996 these "program" shelter beds rose from 39 percent to 52 percent of all adults sheltered.52 Overall, the City appears to have made progress in improving the types of shelter available to homeless adults.
The progress in upgrading the quality of the municipal shelters was not matched by improvements in other aspects of services to homeless adults. Three important dimensions are the rate at which shelter clients are placed in permanent housing, the extent to which employment services help shelter residents find a job, and the ability of the DHS to assist shelter residents to apply for federal Supplemental Security Income (SSI) benefits.
The City did slightly better placing single persons in more permanent housing from the DHS shelters. In 1996 it placed 1,934 adults or 8 percent more than in 1990. With respect to employment services, the available data point to a deterioration in service. The annual number of employment placements dropped from 1,167 in 1990 to 468 in 1996; this rate of decline is three times steeper than the decrease in the number of homeless adults in the shelters. The DHS fared no better with SSI-overall, 28 percent fewer shelter residents were accepted in SSI with DHS assistance. The decline was particularly sharp in the last two years-66 percent from 412 in 1994 to 142 in 1996.
CHILD WELFARE For most of the 1990s, the HRA's Child Welfare Administration (CWA) was responsible for New York City's child welfare services. Following the highly-publicized death of a young girl, Elisa Izquierdo, who had been known to the CWA, Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani signed Executive Order 26 in January 1996, creating the Administration for Children's Services (ACS).
Despite the change in the social services organizational chart, the three main areas of child welfare services remained the same. The first is child protective services (CPS), the investigation of reports of child abuse and neglect and initial case monitoring.53 The second is preventive programs, which provide services to stressed families to help them function better and to prevent the removal of children from their homes. The third area, foster care, consists of alternative homes (with families, group homes, or institutions) for children whose parents are unavailable or unable to provide a safe home for their children. The ACS and contracted foster care agencies also attempt to reunify families, and arrange adoptions for children who cannot be reunited with their parents.
The dominant trend of the 1990s was a contraction in child welfare services. Both the number of families receiving preventive services and the number of children in foster care were reduced. To the extent this reflects less abuse and neglect among New Yorkers-and there is evidence this is the case-the reduced services were a positive development. However, there is also evidence suggesting services were not provided to some needy children because of fiscal and other limitations, and that some resources were misused due to excessive lengths of stay in foster care.
Failings in Child Protective Services
The first contact that City caseworkers have with an abused or neglected child typically occurs through a report of alleged child maltreatment. Reports of child abuse and neglect received by the City decreased annually between 1990 and 1995, falling 14 percent from 55,158 to 47,571. (See Table 9.) As often happens after high-profile child abuse cases, the death of Elisa Izquierdo spurred an increase (11 percent) in 1996, bringing abuse reports to almost 53,000. The number of children covered by these reports of alleged child maltreatment also declined, from 88,334 in 1990 to 75,017 in 1995, before increasing to 85,432 in 1996.
The New York State Central Register hotline classifies as "high-risk" those reports that contain allegations indicating that the child may be in imminent danger. Social service regulations mandate that CPS caseworkers follow a special protocol for responding to these reports. The number of high-risk reports decreased 23 percent from 22,402 in 1990 to 17,276 in 1996. High-risk reports also comprised a shrinking percentage of all abuse reports, falling from 41 percent to 33 percent.
As allegations of abuse and neglect became fewer, the share determined to be actual instances of abuse or neglect also diminished. The percentage of "cases founded" fell from 41 percent in 1990 to 30 percent in 1993. Beginning in 1994 the measure changed to "reports founded," but still continued to decline, from 23 percent to 20 percent in 1996. These New York City rates were far lower and declined much faster than national rates. For the rest of the U.S., the share of reports substantiated fell from 43 percent to 36 percent between calendar years 1990 and 1995.54
Consequently, while allegations of abuse increased 11 percent from 1995 to 1996, founded reports actually decreased 24 percent from 13,357 to 10,135. Overall, the number of founded cases or reports of abuse or neglect fell nearly two-thirds from 29,342 in 1990. Remarkably, this enormous decrease is likely understated, because figures for earlier years relate to cases, which often combine more than one report of abuse or neglect. If the 1990 figure were adjusted by the average ratio of reports to cases, then there would have been 42,546 substantiated reportsthe 1996 figure is fully three-quarters lower.55
Absent other evidence, the general decline in abuse and neglect reports and in founded cases would be good news.56 However, these trends were accompanied by a sharp cut in CPS staff, and this cut likely had an effect on the quality of the investigations. Specifically, the staff reductions led to less timely initiation of investigations, and the staff cuts and other budget cuts created incentives for workers to err on the side of failing to "found" a report rather than refer the case for preventive services or foster care.
Over the 1990-1996 period, the CWA reduced its average available CPS staff 30 percent from 760 to 532 caseworkers. While decreasing numbers of reports suggest that less staff were needed, caseload ratios are a more accurate indication of whether or not the level of staff reductions was appropriate. The benchmark for caseloads in this field is the Child Welfare League of America (CWLA) standard of 12.57 Between 1990 and 1996, the average protective worker caseload soared from 12 to 24, or double the CWLA benchmark. Moreover, the number of new cases per worker per month also increased over the seven-year period. Although the rate was close to the CWLA standard of four in 1990 and 1991, it fluctuated between six and seven thereafter. The caseloads apparently rose to a point that lowered the quality of services intended to protect children's lives.
An important indicator of quality is the percentage of abuse and neglect allegations investigated within the State-mandated 24-hour time limit. This indicator remained above 99 percent for all but one year, dipping to 98.8 percent in 1995. Although this is a high rate of compliance, it is important to remember that even a small percentage of noncompliance represents delays in assistance to hundreds of children whose lives may be in danger. For example, the fact that caseworkers did not respond promptly to 0.9 percent of abuse reports in 1996 suggests that approximately 480 reports involving 770 children were not investigated within the proper time frame, leaving those children in situations of unknown risk for 24 hours or more.
Even more troubling is the City's record of compliance with the rapid response protocol for high-risk reports. This rate of compliance deteriorated during the 1990s despite decreases in both the number of high-risk reports and in the percentage of all reports classified as high-risk. Compliance fell from almost 99 percent in fiscal year 1990 to 95 percent in fiscal year 1996. That 5 percent failure rate means that caseworkers did not respond promptly to about 860 of the most serious reports of abuse, leaving at least that many children in uninvestigated, potentially dangerous situations for too long.
The City did improve the promptness with which investigations were completed once initiated. For the 1993-1996 period (earlier data are not publicly available), the share of determinations made within 60 days increased from 55 percent to 68 percent. While reports were investigated more quickly, they often were investigated inadequately. A review by the State DSS of child protective services found severe short-comings.58 Among its many criticisms, four were particularly damning.
First, only 90 percent of investigations were begun within 24 hours; this is markedly different from the over 99 percent rate reported by the City (refer to Table 9), and suggests many more children are endangered by the City's sluggish response than previously thought. Second, initial contact with the family did not occur within 24 hours in one of five cases of reported abuse or neglect, and in one of six the caseworker's assessment of imminent danger to the children was deemed inadequate because of insufficient information or failure to make face-to-face contact, among other reasons. Third, caseworkers did not execute all the required elements of an investigation in more than half the cases. Investigations were judged to be insufficient to arrive at a determination in one-quarter of all cases; worse yet, investigations were insufficient in two of five unfounded reports. Fourth, and perhaps most startling, caseworkers did not remove children in imminently dangerous situations 7 percent of the time, and legal petitions to remove children were not filed in one-fourth of the cases in which such action was considered necessary to protect the children. The ACS responds to this audit by saying the State DSS's conclusions substantially overstated the severity of the problem. The source of this overstatement was the CWA's inability to fully document its child protective casework.59
Less clear is the impact of reduced staffing on the rate at which reports are founded. (See Figure 4.) Caseworkers with relatively limited training must make difficult judgments in a brief period, frequently based on less than complete evidence. The decision to handle a case as unfounded rather than assemble the evidence to prove a finding of abuse and neglect with its associated court actions may be influenced by staff workload. The most concrete evidence is a memorandum from the CWA's Bronx borough director to child protective supervisors warning them to stop opening new cases of reported abuse without closing extant cases.60 The memorandum instructed the caseworkers "to follow this simple mathematical equation (for every opening you should have two closings/transfers)," regardless of the merits of each individual case. Such a standard operating procedure would explain the reduction in founded cases, just as clearly as it endangers the lives of abused and neglected children.
Preventive programs serve families that are experiencing difficulties in order to help them function better and to prevent removal of the children. Substantiated abuse cases that are not directed to foster care are placed in preventive care. In addition, families can be referred by other service providers, like hospitals and schools. City preventive caseworkers provide services to some families, but the majority of families are supervised by private, nonprofit agencies funded by City contracts.
The falling number of reported and, more importantly, substantiated cases of abuse or neglect is associated with a declining number of cases entering preventive services. Between 1990 and 1996 the annual number of new families receiving care fell 19 percent from 15,316 to 12,407.61 The City itself identified fewer families as candidates for preventive service: The share of families in preventive services referred by the CWA fell from 53 percent to 32 percent.62 The shortcomings in the City's abuse and neglect investigations likely hastened this decline. Because many cases involving preventive services remain with the agency for a long time, the total preventive services caseload declined more slowly. The average number of active cases being served fell 5 percent from a monthly average of 14,039 in 1990 to 13,286 in 1996.63
Two new preventive programs were established in the 1990s. The Family Rehabilitation Program was launched in 1990 to serve families with children at risk because of parental substance abuse. This program combined intensive counseling services with substance abuse treatment. However, its budget was cut in later years, and the substance abuse component was eliminated in 1996 because State funding was lost.64 In December 1991 the CWA created the Family Preservation Program to offer four to eight weeks of intensive counseling and support in the homes of families with children at imminent risk of being placed in foster care.65 Together these programs served 2,100 families or 8 percent of all families receiving preventive care in 1996.
Beyond this data, the City does not maintain, or will not disclose, meaningful information about the nature of the preventive services it provides and funds. Without such information it is difficult for both agency managers and outside monitors to assess the quality and effectiveness of the preventive services supported by taxpayer dollars. It appears that in the face of reductions in available resources the quality of these services declined. This is suggested by the increase in the number of children in preventive services who eventually required foster care placement; the number rose steadily from 480 in 1990 to 1,576 in 1995 before dropping to 1,441 in 1996.66 The ACS offers an alternative explanation of the increase, suggesting it was the result of "contract providers increasingly focusing on families with the highest need, who face the greatest risks for placement."67
Foster care is an alternative living situation for children whose parents are unable to care for them or are unavailable to do so. While children are in foster care, caseworkers attempt to assist the families and foster parents with their needs so that the family can be reunited. If this proves impossible, caseworkers pursue adoption. As with preventive services, the City provides directly some foster care services (for about one-third of the children), but contracts with voluntary agencies for the majority.
The trend in the scale of foster care service was an initial period of growth for three years followed by a decline in the number of children in care in the following four years. From 1990 to 1992 the average monthly census increased 23 percent from 40,126 to 49,283. (See Table 10.) In March 1992 the total population reached 49,996 children, the highest census during the seven-year period. By 1996, however, the census had dropped 15 percent to 42,003.
The decline in foster care cases is consistent with the drop in substantiated reports of abuse and neglect. In fact, the number of new children entering foster care fell 54 percent from 17,252 in 1990 to 7,949 in 1995. In 1996, however, the number of new entries rose 20 percent to 9,549. This recent upswing probably reflects a change in administrative practice to err in favor of the safety of the child over preserving the family in making removal decisions. This shift in practice followed the death of Elisa Izquierdo, and reversed an earlier policy favoring keeping families together. The change in approaches is evidenced in the steady decline in court cases filed to remove children involuntarily from their families-59 percent, from 11,010 in 1990 to 4,510 in 1995, before rising slightly in 1996 after the policy shift.
In addition, one-fourth more children were discharged from foster care in 1996 than in 1990. Indeed, during fiscal years 1992-1996, 12,050 more children were discharged than entered. The combination of fewer entries and more exits should have resulted in a much smaller foster care population.
Why then did the monthly average number of children in foster care decline by only 7,363 during the period? The answer lies in how long children stayed in the system awaiting adoption or reunification with their families. (See Figure 5.) The average time spent by children in foster care in 1996 was three-fifths longer than in 1991-4.3 years versus 2.7 years. As the average stay in foster care increased, the children in foster care got older on average. Whereas close to half of the foster care population was five years old or younger in 1990, only one-third were in 1996. The share of children between six and 12 years of age increased from one-third to two-fifths, those 13 to 17 years old from 16 to 21 percent, and those 18 to 21 years from 4 to 6 percent.
Children in foster care reside in two general kinds of living situations-kinship care and nonrelative care. Kinship foster care involves placement of a child with a relative other than the mother or father. Kinship care rose dramatically in the late 1980s and early 1990s, fueling the overall growth in foster care. More than three-quarters of the increase in foster care in the 1990-1992 period occurred in the kinship program. Similarly, kinship accounted for two-thirds of the subsequent decline through 1996. At its peak in 1992, 44 percent of foster care children were in kinship care arrangements.
The decline in kinship care has both positive and negative aspects. An essential problem with kinship care is that it is open to abuse. Some people favored kinship care because they viewed it as a way to increase family income; foster care maintenance payments are higher than the public assistance payments received when the children live with their mother. Fewer kinship arrangements may mean less of this kind of fiscal abuse. On the other hand, for children whose family situation genuinely merits temporary removal to foster care, the opportunity to stay with a known relative can be beneficial. For such children, less kinship means lower quality foster care.
Nonrelative care takes several forms. Foster boarding homes are families who care for children in need of placement. They house about half of the children in foster care. Roughly the same number of children lived with foster families in 1996 as in 1990. Congregate care facilities include group homes, group residences and institutions. The number of children in congregate care fell 14 percent during the period, driven by a 22 percent reduction in group home placements.
Foster care boarding agencies experienced funding cuts in 1995 and 1996. Prior to 1995 the City paid these agencies the Maximum State Aid Reimbursement Rate (MSAR), or boarding rate. As part of citywide budget reductions, the CWA cut its payments to boarding agencies to 95 percent of the MSAR for the first half of 1995 and to 97 percent for the second half. The following year, New York State instituted the Family and Children's Services Block Grant, which reduced State funding for child protective, preventive, foster care and adoption services. In response, the City cut spending in these areas, with foster care receiving a 15 percent reduction.68 Part of this decrease in foster care spending took the form of an additional 10 percentage point reduction in the foster care boarding rate to 87 percent of the MSAR.
Regardless of the setting, perhaps the most important measure of quality in foster care is length of stay. Foster care represents formative childhood years spent in non-permanent situations, which can be developmentally detrimental. It is preferable for children to have a sense of permanency, either with their natural parents or with a new family. As previously discussed, the average length of stay for all children in foster care increased from 2.7 years in 1991 to 4.3 years in 1996 (data for 1990 are not available). Moreover, the average length of stay for discharged children more than doubled from 2.1 years in 1990 to 4.4 years in 1996.
The quality of the care provided by foster homes is difficult to assess, and little or no information exists that captures the appropriateness of placements or the treatment of children in care. One measure that is available, however, is the number of abuse and neglect reports that name foster parents or agency staff as the perpetrators of child abuse. This figure decreased 18 percent during fiscal years 1990-1996.
The available measures for adoption services show quality worsening between 1990 and 1996. Once a decision to pursue adoption for a child was made, the average length of time to complete adoption was more than three years in 1996, nearly one-third longer than in 1990. In recent years the City was the culprit. Between 1994 and 1996 the average time to adopt for cases handled by contract agencies declined from 3.3 to 3.1 years. (The City did not have data for earlier years.) By contrast, adoptions conducted directly by the City increased from three years to longer than four-and-a-half years.
CHILD CARE Although other municipal agencies provide specialized child care services, the HRA has been the dominant source of publicly supported child care in New York City.69 Throughout fiscal years 1990 to 1996, the HRA administered subsidized child care opportunities through three divisions-the Agency for Child Development, the Office of Income Support, and the Office of Employment Services. In December 1996 the Administration for Children's Services absorbed the Agency for Child Development.
During the 1990-1996 period the number of child care opportunities supported by the HRA increased, and the quality of these services generally improved. As will be shown below, total child care subsidies increased 18 percent to reach over 70,000 children in 1996. Moreover, an increased number of children were in programs emphasizing educational objectives and providing the option of full-day care.
Nationally, publicly subsidized child care serves multiple policy objectives. One is to help enable low-income, working parents to afford the child care they need in order to work. Another is to support parents, especially single parents, in their transition from welfare to work. A third is to provide services to children in unstable family situations. Finally, it can promote the educational development of all young children.
To understand well New York City government's provision of child care, it is helpful to be aware of the three different types of care-informal arrangements, center-based care, and family day care. Informal arrangements include care by relatives, friends, baby-sitters and nannies. "Informal" denotes the contrast between these arrangements and care in programs that are regulated by states' laws. "Formal" arrangements encompass both center-based and family care. Center-based programs include center (or group) day care and Head Start.70 Family day care refers to persons who care for a number of unrelated children in their own homes.71 The regulations for day care centers and family day care homes vary from state to state.72
Another important distinction between types of child care programs is full-time versus part-time. While most group day care programs offer the option of full-time or part-time care, early childhood education programs such as Head Start or Pre-Kindergarten typically only offer a half day.73 This is a crucial issue for working parents. Parents who work and enroll their children in these programs must coordinate an additional child care arrangement for their children. Another scheduling issue is related to the hours of operation of programs. Parents who work non-conventional hours have difficulty finding formal child care arrangements because most programs operate from 8 am to 6 pm.
New York City offers a full array of child care options to qualifying parents.74 The Agency for Child Development (ACD) manages group and family day care contracts and limited purchase of service (LPOS) agreements and administers child care voucher payments.75 The HRA's Office of Employment Services (OES) provides payments for parents who need child care because they are participating in welfare-to-work activities. The Office of Income Support (OIS) within the HRA also participates in the provision of subsidized child care through its administration of child care payments for employed public assistance recipients.
The ACD also administered Head Start, a federal early childhood education program, during the period studied in this report (it is now administered separately in the ACS). Head Start provides comprehensive developmental services, which include education, socio-emotional development, physical and mental health, and nutrition, to low-income preschool children aged three to five.76 In addition, Head Start offers social services to the families of children in the program. The ACD oversaw the majority of the federal Head Start grants in New York City. The discussion below will focus on the ACD and the OES, because data are not available for the OIS. Unfortunately, comprehensive system-wide data do not exist.77
The funding for these child care programs comes from the federal, State and City governments and from the fees that some parents pay. The amount that the City pays for care is based on market rates set by the State Department of Social Services. These market rates indicate the maximum amount that the State will pay for subsidized day care and are equal to the 75th percentile of fees reported by child care providers in New York City in bi-annual surveys. Although the City historically paid its contracted providers more than the market rate, it recently reduced its payments to near or below the market rate. For vouchers, it paid the lesser of either the market rate or the rate charged by the provider. In July 1995 the weekly market rate for children age two and under was $215 for center-based care, $127 for family care, and $46 for informal care subsidized by the OES.78 Rates for older children were lower, ranging from an OES-subsidized informal care rate of $40 to $148 weekly for center care.
Depending on a family's income and size, parents may be required to pay a weekly fee for subsidized child care. The maximum weekly fee was $90 per eligible family. The lowest fee was $1 per week, and some families were not required to contribute financially.79
From 1990 to 1996 the total number of children receiving child care subsidies through the ACD grew steadily, increasing 18 percent from 59,611 in 1990 to 70,336 in 1996. (See Table 11.)
The growth in Head Start and group day care enrollment accounts for 60 percent of the total increase. The City expanded the number of Head Start slots by almost 4,300 or 36 percent over the period. This was the result of increased federal appropriations for Head Start, which grew from a nationwide total of $1.5 billion in 1990 to $3.5 billion in 1995.80 The second largest source of expansion was in group day care programs, where enrollment grew 9 percent from 36,707 in 1990 to 40,033 in 1996.
Although these two types of programs generated most of the growth in enrollment, three additional developments are noteworthy. In 1991, the ACD established the first Head Start/Day Care collaboration programs. These programs extend the normal half-day Head Start services to a full-day program by combining them with group day care. Despite the program's relatively small size-1,805 children in 1996-this is a positive development, because it enables parents to work full-time while providing continuity of care in an enriched setting.
The ACD also increased the supply of vouchers for child care services. The number of children provided vouchers almost tripled from 1,314 in 1990 to 3,920 in 1996. Part of the impetus for the expansion of the voucher program were the parental choice requirements of federal Child Care Development Block Grant (CCDBG) funds.81 Access to vouchers allows parents to purchase the type of care they choose in a neighborhood that is convenient to them. Providing vouchers also allows the City to redirect financial resources from underutilized contracts to payments to parents who can then purchase care where they wish.
Finally, the ACD discontinued the locally-funded Project Giant Step program in January 1991. Project Giant Step was a locally-funded half-day program for pre-kindergarten children run by both the ACD and the Board of Education. The ACD used 2,646 spaces from this program to accommodate 669 full-time intergovernmentally-funded group day care spaces and 1,105 full- and part-time federally-funded Head Start spaces.82
While complete data are not available on the Office of Employment Services' role in the provision of subsidized child care, those activities also likely expanded. Data on the number of children receiving child care subsidies through the OES are available for only one year (1995) of the seven-year period. In the Spring of 1995, the OES provided subsidies for 19,557 children of parents who were participating in welfare-to-work activities. The OES also distributed subsidies to 1,077 children eligible under the Transitional Child Care (TCC) program, which aids families for one year after they leave welfare.83
The number of adults who left AFDC and received TCC subsidies for their children increased from an average of 236 parents per month in 1992 to 645 in 1996.84 Although the number of parents more than doubled, a study commissioned by the OES suggests these subsidies fall short of reaching the entire eligible population. Internal barriers at the OES contributed to a 20 percent TCC application rate.85 These problemslack of communication among HRA divisions, inadequate delivery of applications, and insufficient publicizing of the availability of these benefitsindicate that the HRA's provision of access to subsidies was deficient.
The expansion of child care was accompanied by a shift in the type of services provided. While the changes are not dramatic, the general trend has been positive, with increased numbers of children in programs designed to emphasize educational services and providing the option of full-day care.
The number of children in both Head Start and Head Start/Day Care collaborations grew. (See Figure 6.) The collaborative programs, as noted earlier, were established in 1991 and reached 1,805 children in 1996. Head Start enrollment increased from 11,931 to 16,219; together these two types of programs grew from 21 percent to 26 percent of all ACD enrollments.
The other notable trend in the ACD's mix of services is the increased emphasis on vouchers. The percentage of children receiving subsidized care through ACD vouchers increased from 2 percent in 1990 to almost 6 percent in 1996. The greater use of vouchers is positive because it allows parents to select caregivers from a wider range of options and provides them with greater opportunity to find care in a convenient location. Moreover, information available for 1993 and 1995 suggests that the overwhelming majority of vouchers were used for group day care or family day care.86 (See Table 12.) The very modest growth in the number of children receiving subsidized informal care may be due to a number of causes: Parents may prefer informal care situations; parents may be unable to find center-based care in a convenient location; and, parents may not be able to locate a program that would accept the subsidized rate.
It is more difficult to judge changes in the quality of care provided with OES subsidies due to the absence of consistent data. The figures for Spring 1995 reveal that 83 percent of the children receiving OES subsidies were in informal arrangements. This is a remarkably high percentage compared to the pattern for ACD vouchers. Since informal care situations are typically less reliable and have less educational content, it appears that children of parents who are participating in welfare-to-work activities or who have recently left welfare for work are receiving inferior care.87 Although some may argue that this is due to parental preferences, a 1997 survey by the Office of the Public Advocate of parents participating in welfare-to-work activities reveals that this is not the case. Only 24 percent of the respondents preferred informal care for their children; fully 72 percent preferred center-based programs for their children, and family day care was chosen by 3 percent.88 It appears that the OES is neither assisting parents in securing high quality child care for their children nor enabling them to find the type of care they prefer.
Longer Waiting Lists and Increased Demand
Although subsidized child care enrollment increased significantly, the capacity did not keep pace with demand. Over the 1990 to 1996 period, the number of children on waiting lists for ACD-sponsored care rose 9 percent to reach 15,346; from 1991, when the unduplicated counting measure was most comparable to 1996, the increase was 16 percent.89 Despite the expanded enrollment, at both the beginning and end of this period there was one child denied care and on a waiting list for every three children enrolled.90
After investing considerable resources in creating an unduplicated waiting list in 1991, the agency reverted to duplicate counting in subsequent years due to insufficient resources and an inadequate computer system, and did not produce another unduplicated count until 1996. The plan for 1997 is to decentralize waiting lists to the borough level. This may ease the creation of unduplicated lists for each borough, but the absence of a centralized citywide list may lead to duplication among boroughs and may make central coordination more difficult. In light of the availability of sophisticated computer technology, the inability of the ACD to create and maintain a meaningful waiting list illustrates the agency's inadequate management capacity.
FUTURE CONCERNS The context in which the City of New York provides social services is constantly changing. The 1996 federal reforms will oblige the City to implement some changes, and these federal requirements may themselves be altered. In addition, at the State level both Governor George E. Pataki and legislative leaders have made proposals for changes, including benefit reductions and structural alterations in the Home Relief program. The continually dynamic local labor market will also help shape the future of welfare reform. Accordingly, the future is difficult to discern, but some issues will persist. Based upon our review of performance over the past seven years, the Citizens Budget Commission identifies the following eight high-priority concerns.
Managing an expanded WEP Program productively. The HRA did an admirable job of expanding the WEP program in recent years. Enrollment significantly increased to include virtually all eligible HR recipients and to begin to include AFDC recipients. The combination of increasing requirements for work-related activity for public assistance beneficiaries and the limited private sector job prospects for the less-skilled point to a vastly expanded WEP program in the future involving tens-of-thousands more single parents formerly classified as AFDC recipients.
The City should continue to focus great attention on managing expansion of the WEP program so that it functions productively. Suitable tasks should be identified for the participants, and they should be adequately supervised. If well run, WEP can deliver significant benefits to citizens in the form of valuable services, as well as to participants in the form of a credible work record to aid in subsequent job searches.
Striking a better balance between fraud control and inappropriately denying benefits to the indigent. There is evidence that elements of the NYC WAY initiative are causing otherwise eligible indigent New Yorkers to be denied cash benefits. The motivation for the NYC WAY program-to increase work effort among recipients and to screen out abusers-is sound, and has yielded many positive achievements. But a better balance is needed between these anti-fraud concerns and the goal of providing needy residents a reliable source of cash income. Administrative procedures should be revised to avoid inappropriate rejection of applications and inappropriate closing of cases.
Maintaining an adequate benefit package for the needy. The value of the combination of cash benefits and food stamps given to indigent New Yorkers did not keep pace with inflation in the 1990s. Moreover, this continued a longer-run trend dating from the mid-1970s. The standard of living supported by these benefits is now significantly below the federal poverty level.
There are multiple reasons for this worsening hardship. As State and local governments faced tighter fiscal constraints, benefits for the indigent suffered along with allocations for many other purposes. In addition, the intergovernmental nature of financing for these benefits provides fiscal incentives for the State to reduce its benefits; welfare allowances are counted as income in calculating federal Food Stamp benefits, and therefore part of any loss of welfare income is made up with federally funded Food Stamps. Nonetheless, in order to protect the most needy from further hardship, the Citizens Budget Commission, in its Budget 2000 report, recommended that welfare benefits not be allowed to deteriorate further: "Competitive fiscal pressures among states may prevent New York from raising grants to the poverty threshold, but they should not be used as an excuse for lowering benefits from current levels."91
Providing shelter for homeless families. The DHS simply did not do an adequate job of providing homeless families with temporary housing. Some were deterred from seeking aid, and many others were forced to wait in the EAUs for days before being placed. The management of the department was so poor that taxpayers paid millions of dollars in fines imposed by the courts because of the City's ineptitude.
Since the end of fiscal year 1996, the DHS has implemented new measures to address some of these problems.92 The department began to use assessment centers to house families while they await completion of a lengthier and more thorough eligibility verification process; consequently, fewer families stay in the EAU. Additional services are provided to the families at the EAU by ACS caseworkers and HRA domestic violence workers. The DHS also established a network of contracted outreach teams and drop-in centers. Outreach teams actively seek out homeless on the streets and entreat them to accept shelter and services. The eight drop-in centers assist the homeless by providing basic necessities such as food, clothing and medical attention, and by placing them in temporary shelter or permanent housing. Also, since December 1996 the DHS has not used non-compliant hotels. These measures hold the promise of expanding access to services and reducing delays in placement; if data for fiscal year 1997, scheduled for release in September 1997, demonstrate improvements, then these efforts should be continued and expanded.
Discovering and rectifying child abuse and neglect in a timely way. In the recent past, understaffing and other practices in the provision of child protective services appeared to have created incentives for workers to err on the side of avoiding a finding requiring intervention. As a result, preventive services and supportive activities were reduced.
The creation of the ACS and increases in its budget may be rectifying this troublesome situation. The ACS restructured child welfare services into three divisions: the Division of Child Protection, the Division of Family Permanency, and the Division of Legal Services. Child protective service (CPS) caseworkers are no longer responsible for the management of the foster care cases of children who have been removed from their homes; caseworkers from the Division of Family Permanency now monitor these cases, leaving the CPS caseworkers to concentrate on investigating maltreatment reports. In addition to this change in the Division for Child Protection, the ACS plans to: Reduce CPS caseloads by hiring more caseworkers; create instant response teams that include the police and assistant district attorneys for cases involving crimes; establish CPS zones consistent with the Community Districts; introduce a case-conferencing system for cases involving the removal of children from their homes; and, establish a new investigative training component for the ACS's Satterwhite Academy.
The ACS is also making important changes in the Division of Family Permanency and the Division of Legal Services. One initiative is to increase the acceptance of ACS referrals to contracted preventive services. In the area of legal services, the ACS launched a new policy of having one attorney manage a case from initiation to completion.
It is too early to determine if the ACS's plans are having a positive impact. The most obvious change is that more money is being spent by the agency. Expenditures for child welfare totaled $1,211 million in 1996 under the CWA and the ACS; in 1997 the ACS spent an estimated $1,414 million, and is projected to spend $1,833 million in 1998.93 Significantly, the Department is reporting that CPS caseloads have been reduced to 18.94 Despite the significant progress made since the creation of this new child welfare agency, continued attention and fiscal resources are needed to ensure that reasonable actions are taken to investigate and follow-up on reports of child abuse and neglect.
Limit foster care to the time necessary and appropriate. Recent years saw a sharp increase in the average time a child spends in foster care. This is a cause for concern because long stays may not be necessary; instead they may result from fiscal incentives related to per diem payments for care and poor supervision of foster care caseloads. Previous experiments with alternative payment arrangements for care, which provide incentives for foster care agencies to shorten lengths of stay in a prudent manner, were encouraging. The Citizens Budget Commission estimated in 1996 that about $170 million annually could be saved statewide if managed care concepts were applied to foster care.95 New expanded initiatives should be tried.
Expanding child care capacity to keep pace with workfare initiatives. With federal financial assistance, the City significantly expanded opportunities for child care subsidies during the 1990s. However, federal welfare reform requirements will place new demands on the OES and the ACS. One recent independent estimate is that by 1999 over 100,000 children will need some type of child care because their parents are participating in workfare as a result of new federal legislation.96
To meet these new demands the City will have to make difficult resource allocation decisions. Relying on allowances for informal care could provide cheaper care for larger numbers than would expansion of subsidies for center-based and other regulated care. But the former type of care is generally less reliable, has far fewer educational benefits, and is virtually unregulated. In the face of significant new demand, careful consideration should be given to the choices of how to expand child care subsidies and to ensure adequate quality of informal as well as formal care. Comprehensive management is also necessary to coordinate the efforts of the multiple agencies providing child care servicesthe ACD, the OES, the OIS, and the Board of Education.
Expanding use of computer technology and capacity for program analysis. The CBC's most recent analysis of the HRA identified "three broad principles to guide the HRA's management into the next century. First, the HRA's operations should be designed to promote the fundamental goal of helping its clients achieve self-sufficiency. Second, this goal can be achieved efficiently only if the HRA has a well-developed capacity for program evaluation and an information system to support such analyses. Third, the maintenance of a comprehensive information system that serves as a management tool for the entire agency requires the application of sophisticated technology."97
To date, little has changed in this regard. This lack of progress is particularly worrisome because dramatic changes in the way social services are provided are occurring with insufficient ability to assess their efficacy and efficiency. Furthermore, while other jurisdictions are successfully exploring new uses of technology, like advanced information management systems and interactive kiosks, the City continues to administer its social services in the same fashion. More sophisticated record-keeping, combined with the capacity for skillful analysis, would produce meaningful information to direct the formation and implementation of less expensive, higher quality programs.
NOTES
1. This report does not examine the purchase of medical care for the indigent under the Medicaid program. Although the City's portion of the Medicaid program is a large item in the New York City Department of Social Services' budget, the City has little control over the administration of the Medicaid program. It is administered primarily by the State Department of Social Services. Furthermore, the City's Medicaid contribution is better analyzed in the broader context of State and local policies relating to medical care for the indigent, including the activities of the New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation.
2. National employment data from City of New York, Office of Management and Budget, "Monthly Report on Economic Conditions" (NY: OMB, April 7, 1997).
3. Ibid.
4. U.S. Department of Justice, Office of National Drug Control Policy, "Fact Sheet: Drug Use Trends" (Rockville, MD: National Criminal Justice Reference Service, July 1996), p. 4.
5. U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, National Institute of Justice, 1995 Drug Use Forecasting: Annual Report on Adult and Juvenile Arrestees (Rockville, MD: National Criminal Justice Reference Service, June 1996), p. 29.
6.The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services' Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) sponsors the Drug Abuse Warning Network (DAWN), an ongoing national survey of hospital emergency departments. To be included in the DAWN statistics, persons must be six years or older and meet all four of the following criteria: The patient was treated in the hospital's emergency department; the patient's problem(s) was induced by or related to drug use, regardless of when drug ingestion occurred; the case involved the non-medical use of a legal drug or any use of an illegal drug; and, the patient's reason for taking the substance(s) included dependency, suicide attempt or gesture, or psychic effects. See Preliminary Estimates from the Drug Abuse Warning Network, Advance Report Number 17 (Washington, DC: SAMHSA, August 1996).
7. This trend should be interpreted cautiously because of possible delays in reporting.
8. This report follows the convention of defining persons in poverty as those with incomes below the federal poverty threshold as defined by the U.S. Bureau of the Census. The poverty threshold for a family of three increased from $10,419 annually in 1990 to $11,821 in 1994. See Jiali Li and Emily Zimmerman, Low Income Populations in New York City: Economic Trends and Social Welfare Programs 1996 (NY: United Way of New York City and the New York City Human Resources Administration, April 1997).
9. This trend should be interpreted cautiously because of possible delays in reporting.
10. National data from Kathryn Porter, Improvements in Poverty and Income in 1995 Tempered by Troubling Long-Term Trends (Washington, DC: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, March 11, 1997).
11. Several smaller agencies also were involved in social services during fiscal years 1990-1996. Most prominent among these were the Department of Youth Services, the Department of Employment and the Department for the Aging. These agencies are not included in the analysis because they are primarily conduits, directing intergovernmental aid to nonprofit service providers, rather than direct service deliverers themselves, and because they are small relative to the HRA.
12. From this point forward, except where noted, all years are City fiscal years, which run from July 1 through June 30 and correspond to the year in which they conclude. For example, fiscal year 1996 began on July 1, 1995, and ended on June 30, 1996.
13. City of New York, Office of Management and Budget, Adopted Budget: Expense, Revenue, Contract, Fiscal Year 1998, (NY: OMB, June 1997).
14. Employment data supplied by the New York City Office of Management and Budget.
15. The welfare reform law enacted by the federal government on August 22, 1996, replaced AFDC with the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program (TANF). However, the law did not take effect until July 1, 1997. Therefore, AFDC was the operative assistance program for the fiscal years 1990-1996 period.
16. Actual participation rates will be lower because the law allows states to lower the requirements based on actual reductions in caseload.
17. City of New York, Mayorís Office of Operations, The Mayorís Management Report (NY: MOO, September 17, 1990), p. 401.
18. Li and Zimmerman, op. cit., p. 101.
19. City of New York, Mayorís Office of Operations, The Mayorís Management Report, Volume I: Agency Narratives (NY: MOO, September 14, 1995), p. 166.
20. Effective October 1, 1996, the maximum Food Stamp benefit for a family of three receiving the maximum public assistance benefit was cut to $256.
21. City of New York, Human Resources Administration, "HRA Facts: May 1997" (NY: HRA, June 1997).
22. These figures count "entries" into employment programs, not persons participating in programs; because clients can enter multiple programs during the year, the number of entries exceeds the number of participating clients.
23. It should be noted that some clients may be placed in jobs more than once during the year, and thus would be double-counted in these figures. Further, some persons continue to receive benefits because the compensation from their job placement is low enough that they remain eligible. In 1996 there were 3,682 persons in the latter group, or less than 1 percent of all adult recipients. Finally, the preliminary 1997 edition of The Mayor's Management Report states that for Home Relief in 1996 the job placement "indicator now includes public assistance grant reductions and application withdrawals as well as rejected applications." Including these under job placement is inappropriate.
24. See Charles Brecher, Richard Delaney, James Lo, Dean Michael Mead and Sheila Spiezio, An Agenda for Change at the Human Resources Administration (NY: CBC, January 1994).
25. See Elizabeth Durbin, "Public Assistance," in Charles Brecher and Raymond D. Horton, eds., Setting Municipal Priorities 1990 (NY: New York University Press, 1989), pp. 223-263.
26. Lilliam Barrios-Paoli, Administrator/Commissioner, Human Resources Administration, letter to Raymond D. Horton, President, Citizens Budget Commission, August 6, 1997, p. 3.
27. An important additional indicator is the percentage of fair hearings the HRA wins. If public assistance recipients were unfairly dropped from the rolls, then the percentage would likely decline as the recipients were reinstated. Unfortunately, the City has been unable to provide data on the number of individual issue decisions in fair hearings and the number decided in the HRA's favor. However, the City did provide similar data to the New York Observer in 1996. Those data showed that 80 percent of the clients who appealed EVR-related decisions to close cases were victorious; that figure increased to 98 percent when the client was represented at the fair hearing by an advocate or attorney. See Jesse Drucker and Michael Powell, "Rudy's Crackdown on Welfare Fraud Runs Into Trouble," New York Observer, April 15, 1996.
28. The initial declines in fair hearings, both in number and percentage, likely derived from reductions in payment error rates and from 1990 figures which were unusually high due to the introduction of work requirements for HR recipients.
29. Barrios-Paoli, op. cit., p. 3.
30. City of New York, Mayorís Office of Operations, op. cit., February 15, 1996, p. 110.
31. Barrios-Paoli, op. cit., p. 3.
32. Hotels are deemed noncompliant for one of two reasons: They are for-profit, privately-owned and operated hotels with more than 100 units, or they have 100 or fewer units but do not have a bathroom, refrigerator, cooking facilities and an adequate sleeping area in all units used to house homeless families, and do not provide stable living accommodations or on-site social services. See Local Law 51 of 1993, New York City Charter and Administrative Code 1993 Amendments (Guilderland, NY: New York Legal Publishing Corporation, 1991).
33. The DHS eventually ceased using the non-compliant hotels on December 1, 1996.
34. Citizens' Committee for Children of New York, Inc., Getting Shelter: The Homeless Family Odyssey (NY: CCC, June 1996), p. 5.
35. Ibid., p. 8. The HRA closed five IS centers after November 1, 1996. See From Welfare to Work: Getting Lost Along the Way (NY: Office of the Public Advocate, July 1997).
36. Citizens' Committee for Children of New York, op cit., p. 8.
37. Ibid., p. 10.
38. According to the DHS, recent efforts to address this situation have resulted in improvements: "[L]ast year at this time, we regularly had between 140 and 160 families waiting at the EAU each night, about two-thirds of whom had been at the EAU for more than two nightsin some cases as many as eight or nine. This year, we have between 30 and 60 families a night, almost none of whom have been there for more than two nights." Gordon Campbell, Commissioner, Department of Homeless Services, letter to Raymond D. Horton, President, Citizens Budget Commission, August 6, 1997, p. 2.
39. Peter Hellman, "Justice Freedman v. New York," City Journal, Spring 1997, p. 64.
40. Gordon Campbell, Commissioner, New York City Department of Homeless Services, testimony before the General Welfare Committee of the New York City Council, July 30, 1996.
41. The DHS reports that in fiscal year 1997 the average number of families in temporary housing and the average number in hotels were reduced to near or below 1992 levels. See Campbell, op. cit., p. 2.
42. All information in this paragraph regarding the number of shelters is from City of New York, Human Resources Administration, Crisis Intervention Services, Emergency Housing Services for Homeless Families Monthly Report, August 1989 through June 1